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Sep 07

Pulse Check on Modesto Crime

Posted on September 7, 2018 at 9:02 AM by Thomas Reeves

This week's post is provided by guest blogger, Police Chief Galen Carroll

Modesto has a reputation of being a rough city when it comes to crime in spite of our great neighborhoods and neighborhood groups. There’s no doubt we face a lot of challenges in public safety. 

It is a fact that Modesto has a higher crime rate per 1,000 people than the average crime rate for in California.  We have often been ranked in the top five for both violent crime and property crime per capita for the state.

The goal of the Modesto Police Department – really, your entire group of city leaders – is to “Make Modesto Better.”  

Year after year, crime reporting statistics show fluctuating increases and decreases, and they’re never really an accurate measurement of the police department’s performance or the strategies we have been employing to combat the crime in our city. 

In 2012, the police department compiled a 10-year report on crime in our city in comparison to the rest of the state. We found our violent crime and property crime were consistently higher than the state average. Since that time we have implemented new area commands for greater accountability, implemented intelligence-led policing strategies to focus on the offenders committing the most crime, invested in a robust Predictive Policing program, implemented greater reporting and crime trend analyses, and built a real-time crime center. These strategies have had the most impact on our property crime rates. 

This year, for the first time in over a decade, Modesto was not ranked #1 in auto theft per capita in the nation – or even in the top 5 cities.  

Below is a comparison of the property crime reduction in Modesto as compared to the State of California; it shows the percent difference from 2012 to 2017:

   Burglary Auto Theft Larceny TOTAL
MODESTO -46% -22% -16% -28%
CALIFORNIA -28% -0.1% 1.1% -4%

Modesto is on the right track, though we definitely have a lot more work to do in order to meet the state average for crime.  

While there is reason to celebrate the reduction in property crime in our city, I continue to focus on the violent crime problem.  Below is a comparison of violent crimes in Modesto as compared to the State of California; it shows the percent difference from 2012 to 2017:

   Homicide Rape Robbery
 0% 86% 15% 43% 30%
 CALIFORNIA -2.6% 88% 2% 11.6% 11.2%

I attribute the large increase in rapes, both for the state and city, to the change in reporting criterion by the department of justice. 

The increase in robberies and aggravated assault is highly alarming to me as your police chief. In the last several years, the State of California has implemented multiple changes to the criminal justice system.  Each of these changes has resulted in the release of more offenders onto the streets of Modesto and California. Many of those offenders had violent criminal histories; however their incarceration charges were not considered “violent” by the State, and therefore they were released without regard for their past offenses.  This has had an impact on our crime rates. 

Equally concerning here in Modesto is the level of violence in the home.  Our rate of domestic violence has increased 44% in the last five years from 877 cases in 2013 to 1,320 last year. Domestic Violence is never acceptable, and the Police Department is actively working with the District Attorney’s office and the courts to help address those volatile relationships. Individuals experiencing Domestic Violence should reach out for help from counselors, churches, friends, and family to break that cycle of violence. 

There is help for those who need it.  Members of the community who are in an abusive relationship can call the National Domestic Violence Hotline at 1-800-799-SAFE (7233). Local resources are also available with the Family Justice Center at (209) 525-5130 and at 1418 J St. in Modesto. 

There are many factors that come into play when considering how crime affects the quality of life in our city. Residents are encouraged to continue to get to know your neighbors.  We continue to be rated among the top cities in participation for National Night out for the past five years. 

The tighter we are as a community, the more we can look out for each other and help prevent many of the property crimes. In working toward preventing crime, we can all do our part in making sure to secure our homes and vehicles, not leaving valuables in plain sight, utilizing anti-theft devices on older model cars, and never leaving cars running unattended.  Remember to be cognizant of your surroundings and pay attention to the world around you, not just the cellphone in front of you.  Look for things that seem out of place and trust your instincts.

I, like you, desire a community where we feel safe to go for a walk at night, go shopping, and enjoy our neighborhoods.  Together we can make Modesto better for all of us, and for our children and grandchildren.

If you have any questions, comments, or concerns about my department, please call me at (209) 572-9501.

Galen Carroll